Week 5 of the 2021 NFL season had some expected explosions but also had some turmoil based on shocking wire-to-wire results or late-game twists. This led to some fun ups and downs with the picks against the spread, leaving plenty of room for improvement as usual in week six.

This week, there is a bit of a prediction break with four teams in their first farewell to the season (Falcons, Jets, Saints, 49) cutting the number of matches from 16 to 14. This gives us two fewer chances to get things wrong, and also gives us two fewer chances to get things right. .

Here are the details of the latest round of NFL games and who we’d like to win and cover in each competition:

(Game odds courtesy of Vandel)

NFL Energy Ratings:
Bills, Cowboys, Chargers are serious competitors; Presidents, 49 presidents fall for the sixth week

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NFL picks against the spread for week 6

  • Game of the Week: Cowboys (-4, 48.5 o/u) at the Patriots

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

The Cowboys attack seems unstoppable because it is balanced, explosive, versatile and can switch between happy passes and heavy runs. They also have the added element of mobile quarterback, Dak Prescott. Bill Belichick will plan to pull one thing away from Prescott, most likely a broadband receiver, an Amari Cooper or Sir Lamb. This still left the other to do damage, and Prescott also felt like he was rocking on his tight ends and backs. The Patriots’ running game is hit again and Mac Jones faces a fierce defense with Trevon Diggs poised to pounce on any fouls. Dallas has the perfect scheme to thwart New England on the road.

picking The Cowboys win 27-20 and cover the difference.

  • Midweek Game: Pirates (-7, 53.5°/u) at Eagles

Thursday 8:20 PM ET, Fox, NFL Network, Amazon Prime Video

The Buccaneers are up for a short week challenge but nothing too scary as there are plenty of holes to exploit in the Eagles’ defense once you prevent Javon Hargrave and Fletcher Cox from getting in Tom Brady’s face. Jalen Hurts can cause problems for Bucs’ seven defense backs missing with his big arm and running ability. But Tampa Bay tends to start out hot and build while Philly can be slow out of the gate. The pirates must ensure that sufficient cushion is built by the fourth quarter.

picking The pirates win 34-22 and cover the spread.

  • Compete of the week: beams (-4.5, 45 degrees / u) in the bears

Sunday 1pm ET, Fox

The Packers passing defense would have struggled for a while without Jair Alexander, but the Bears passing was somewhat lacking with Justin Fields. Chicago will run to survive in the dream early but the game scenario will put the first novice player (who doesn’t run) in the discomfort zone. Green Bay’s offensive line will help Aaron Rodgers take the ball fast against Khalil Mack, dash in passes and exploit some shaky secondary points. The Packers are nothing but a game against the Bears and they know they need to dominate the NFC North ahead of a tough second-half schedule and they’ll play just as well at Soldier Field.

picking The beams win 27-17 and cover the spread.

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  • Week Lock: Chiefs (-6.5, 54.5) over Washington

Sunday 1pm ET, CBS

The Chiefs are back under .500 for the second time in three weeks. They wouldn’t lose two in a row with Patrick Mahomes, would they? The Mahomes should have healthy main receivers to play, well so far, because Andy Reid may feel less compelled to run without Clyde Edwards-Heller and veteran senior forward Joe Thony. Washington’s defense was giving up big plays at will and also had trouble getting in the right places to limit gains in the open field. KC goes to DC for a much-needed recovery game against an attack that can’t play catch-up.

picking Bosses win 34-17 and cover the spread.

  • Surprise of the week: Raiders (+3, 44.5) on the Bronco

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

The Raiders and Broncos lost two games in a row after starting 3-0, so hopes for one team are fading faster this week. Las Vegas was a defensive roller coaster, sometimes on lockdown and sometimes in a situation where nothing could be stopped. Derek Carr and Teddy Bridgewater are similar QBs with their penchant for short to medium passing and occasional deep shots. Las Vegas swept the series last season and took care of Vic Fangio’s side for the third time in a row, wrapping around interim head coach Rich Bisachia.

picking The Raiders win 20-17.

  • Dolphins (-3.5, 45.5) in Jaguars

Sunday 9:30 a.m. ET, CBS

Do we really need to get up so early in the morning to watch two beach teams in Florida play on the other side of the Atlantic? No, but still football, watercolor and blue are very cheerful colours. Miami is the best-trained team with Brian Flores, and although Jacksonville will hit the “Visitor” with James Robinson’s sophomore return, a pass-through matchup with Trevor Lawrence will hit some blocks. The Dolphins will face a more creative onslaught around Jacoby Brissett as Urban Meyer finds a new continent on which to spoil the NFL game plan.

picking The Dolphins win 24-22 but fail to cover the difference.

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  • Texas at the Colts (-10, 42.5°/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Texans are showing a lot of fighting with what they have under coach David Cooley and offensive coordinator Tim Kelly. The Colts rush offense will give them a break minus Quinton Nelson and Carson Wentz don’t have the weapons to light them up. Davis Mills will turn to build another efficient Patriots performance as Houston’s defense bends but doesn’t break completely.

picking The Colts win 24-17 but fail to cover the difference.

  • Vikings at Panthers (-1.5, 46.5°/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Vikings are slightly undervalued at 2-3, and the Panthers have been shown to be inflated with a 3-2 score. Minnesota will do what is needed to beat Carolina; Commit to running and creating favorable passing opportunities to help neutralize the strong passing impulse. Let’s hope we get a healthy, rushed duel between Dalvin Cook and Christian McCaffrey, but in the end it comes down to which QB will be less efficient and make more mistakes between Kirk Cousins ​​and Sam Darnold. Trust Cousins ​​don’t force the ball down as much as Darnold.

picking The Vikings won 23-20.

  • Chargers at Ravens (-3.5, 50.5°C)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Chargers feel an aggressive attack around Justin Herbert and have a good makeup to win the road under Brandon Staley. But as much as they can defend the pass at times, they aren’t meant to handle intense attacks, especially those involving Lamar Jackson, who is also back to pushing the ball down the field with precision. Baltimore will have more success in making Los Angeles one-dimensional. These two AFC contenders will play a classic, as did the Chargers with another North team last week.

picking The crows win 27-24 but fail to cover the difference.

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  • Bengals (-3.5, 47.5°/u) in Lions

Sunday 1pm ET, Fox

The Bengals are having their second insane feline in three games, and assuming Joe Burrow will be fine, they’ll bounce back nicely from the Packers’ tough loss in overtime with a short road trip to the other north. Cincinnati is the superior team to Detroit in every way. The Lions have no answers about running Joe Mixon or a talented trio of young broads led by rising star Ja’Marr Chase. The Vikings’ emotional loss last week will be even more difficult for the Lions to shake off as well, given the faulty talent constraints for this match.

picking Bengals win 31-23 and the spread is covered.

  • Rams (-10.5, 47.5°/u) in giants

Sunday 1pm ET, Fox

The Rams had a long recovery from their victory Thursday night in Seattle. Sean McVay always prepares them well for long East Coast cruises. They’re drawing a shell out of Attack on Titan and you can bet Galen Ramsey will be tasked with pulling dazzling rookie Cadarius Tony. The Giants’ defense collapses and the Rams can run on them well to set up the usual playing shots of Matthew Stafford away from James Bradbury’s top corner.

picking The Rams win 31-16 and cover the difference.

  • Cardinals at Browns (-2.5, 51.5 °C/u)

Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

Baker Mayfield and Keeler Murray face off for the first time as NFL quarterbacks having both made first-place finishes outside of Oklahoma in consecutive years, Mayfield in 2018 and Murray in 2019. As Mayfield works to find his groove outside his 32-start team, Murray He is the best number one player leading a team 5-0. But this game will be further determined by which team can control things with a rushing attack, and that is Cleveland. Mayfield’s scheming stays hot while Murray can’t manage his team to victory in an unsurprisingly wild game.

picking Brown wins 27-24 and covers the difference.

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  • Seahawks at Steelers (-4.5, 42.5 °C/u)

Sunday 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

The Seahawks would go into a hostile environment with Geno Smith as quarterback instead of Russell Wilson. Although Smith knows Pittsburgh well from his Backyard Brawl days, he never encountered this Steelers defense at Heinz Field. The Steelers also had Nagy Harris and the running game take place last week and Seattle can’t stop it. The Hawks also can’t cover Diontae Johnson or Chase Claypool.

picking The Steelers win 31-20 and cover the difference.

  • Bills (-4.5, 53.5/u) at Titans

Sunday 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

The Bills had an emotional big win in Kansas City and will be slightly disappointed against another AFC play-off team they’ve had some trouble with in the past. But the Tennessee attack doesn’t have the firepower to keep up with Derek Henry’s strong run. The Bills pass game can beat the Titans in many areas in the middle of the field and will be a quick hit with Josh Allen and others as well.

picking Bills 27-23 win but fail to cover the spread.

Finney Air picks for 2021:

  • 5th week record against the spread: 7-9
  • Fifth consecutive week record: 11-5
  • ATS season: 39-41
  • Consecutive season: 53-27

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